Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.000134 0.000148 0.000163 0.000180 0.000199 0.000220 0.000245
2025-06-29 0.000105 0.000124 0.000147 0.000175 0.000209 0.000250 0.000303
2025-07-06 0.000085 0.000107 0.000133 0.000167 0.000212 0.000269 0.000348
2025-07-13 0.000075 0.000098 0.000127 0.000168 0.000224 0.000298 0.000407
2025-07-20 0.000068 0.000092 0.000124 0.000170 0.000237 0.000330 0.000474
2025-07-27 0.000062 0.000086 0.000119 0.000169 0.000244 0.000353 0.000531
2025-08-03 0.000057 0.000082 0.000117 0.000171 0.000256 0.000386 0.000604
2025-08-10 0.000052 0.000077 0.000112 0.000169 0.000261 0.000406 0.000661
2025-08-17 0.000048 0.000072 0.000108 0.000168 0.000266 0.000427 0.000721
2025-08-24 0.000044 0.000068 0.000104 0.000164 0.000268 0.000443 0.000775
2025-08-31 0.000041 0.000063 0.000098 0.000159 0.000266 0.000452 0.000816
2025-09-07 0.000038 0.000061 0.000097 0.000160 0.000275 0.000480 0.000896
2025-09-14 0.000037 0.000059 0.000096 0.000163 0.000287 0.000517 0.001004
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000055 0.000092 0.000159 0.000288 0.000535 0.001074
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000051 0.000086 0.000153 0.000282 0.000537 0.001114
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000049 0.000084 0.000153 0.000291 0.000570 0.001223
2025-10-12 0.000028 0.000048 0.000084 0.000155 0.000302 0.000610 0.001359
2025-10-19 0.000026 0.000046 0.000082 0.000154 0.000307 0.000637 0.001465
2025-10-26 0.000025 0.000045 0.000081 0.000156 0.000320 0.000681 0.001623
2025-11-02 0.000024 0.000043 0.000079 0.000154 0.000322 0.000703 0.001730
2025-11-09 0.000022 0.000041 0.000076 0.000153 0.000326 0.000729 0.001849
2025-11-16 0.000021 0.000039 0.000074 0.000150 0.000326 0.000746 0.001949
2025-11-23 0.000020 0.000037 0.000071 0.000146 0.000322 0.000751 0.002017